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It seems only a little while ago that this Blog was a going concern.  It was updated as often as possible and usually, the content was timel...

Monday, December 13, 2010

Drina reported position 2200hrs UTC on 12-12/2010 as 43°12'S and 150°36"W.

Here is the mail with only some slight redactions...


Dear Kerro, Thanks for the weather it is much appreciated but very scary to read. We have low behind us which may catch us in the next day or so. At present have 18knots from the north and sailing well,. It is graduly swinging to the NW Miday today which is 2200 hours 12th we where at 43 12s 150 36 w with 3278 to go and speed of 6.5 on a course off 80 True. We are both well. Yesterday we went over a Orca whale. Alex saw it under the boat?? Alex is having trouble with the position reporting application so no reports to Shiptrack or YotReports since we crossed the date line. If you can sort this out with Pangolin in NZ that would be great. Paul Kerrigan

Strewth on Bathurst Hbr

Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90

My posts: Blogger Facebook LiveJournal WordPress LinkedIn

Thursday, December 9, 2010

News from the Chile bound adventurers...

Hi All,
It's bee n a long couple of days since the last news from Drina...  So I have to admit to being a little relieved when a mail arrived late this afternoon.  The good news is that all's well on board, though a little chilly, not Chile... Both the heaters are now being deployed all the time to maintain a comfortable environment below deck.  The fuel situation is better than expected and they have only used one of the two fuel bladders that they have on deck. My DR position had them at 44.5S and 165W... However Michael reports that they are only 43.5S and 170W approximately.  They have been running under double reefed main and a small scrap of polled out stay sail for three days in about 35 to 40 knots.   So much for the weather analysis that suggested they should have experienced SW winds for the last 3 days...

Michael reports that the water generator, (counter intuitively it generates electricity) is working very well.  So well in fact that he doesn't need to run the diesel to charge the batteries.  Down side is that he has to run the diesel every couple of hours so that it doesn't get too cold to start when he needs it.  So it seems it's six of one and a half dozen of the other.  In any case all this electricity means that the deep freeze has been in good order for the trip so far.  They are reaching the end of the fresh food and Alex is now eating defrosted peas and beans, while Michael is enjoying unfrozen beef and lamb....  with peas and  beans!

They have about 3700 NM to go via the great circle route and plan to dip down into the high forties or low 50S on the passage.  I've checked the ice edge with the Aussie BOM only to find that Casey Station is experiencing difficulties transmitting the data to Canberra.  Consequently there are no ICE edge Sat images to see.  After a few mails I've now established a link with one of the techo's at BOM and I'm in the loop.  So I'm sending word pictures of the ice edge to Drina...

That's all for now, All the best PK


Paul Kerrigan

Strewth on Bathurst Hbr

Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90

My posts: Blogger Facebook LiveJournal WordPress LinkedIn

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Understanding how the economy works...

I was sitting quietly at my keyboard this afternoon, and a mail arrived from an old friend of mine in Tasmaina, as follows...

"Wikileaks: Law Students Blacklisted?

Links to Wikileaks could get you into a heap of trouble.  That's the message being sent to students at Boston University Law School who were warned in an e-mail from the Career Development office that they could violate federal law if they read confidential documents posted on the site.
What?"

Check it out here...

They might as well make it a fedral offence to read the NYT or pass around old copies of the Washington Post, or God forbid watch Fox News...  Where do these jokers get their ideas from in a (so called) free society.  It makes me want to weep... (sob)

And just as I was getting all fired up about the mess the US is making of the Wiki thing, a little note arrived from another good mate, explaining how the economy works...  Unfortunately he can't or won't tell me who wrote the explaination so I can't provide any atributation.  So I'll just quote the thing verbatim, enjoy!

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"Mary is the proprietor of a bar in Dublin. She realises that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronise her bar. To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Mary's "drink now, pay later" marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Mary's bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Dublin.

Mary is the proprietor of a bar in Dublin. She realises that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronise her bar. To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Mary's "drink now, pay later" marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Mary's bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Dublin.

By providing her customers freedom from immediate payment demands, Mary gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Mary's gross sales volume increases massively. A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognises that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Mary's borrowing limit. He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank's corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then bundled and traded on international security markets. Naive investors don't really understand that the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics. Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation's leading brokerage houses.

One day, even though the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Mary's bar. He so informs Mary.

Mary then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts. Since Mary cannot fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy. The bar closes and the eleven employees lose their jobs.

Overnight, DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS drop in price by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the banks' liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.
The suppliers of Mary's bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms' pension funds in the various BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds. Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multi-billion euro no-strings attached cash infusion from their cronies in Government. The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who have never been in Mary's bar.

Now, do you understand economics in 2010?"



Paul Kerrigan

Strewth on Bathurst Hbr

Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90

My posts:

Monday, December 6, 2010

News from Drina but no Position report for the second day...

I had a mail from Drina overnight and can report that all's well on board and they continue sailing in fairly light winds and fog...

As I expected they are having trouble with HF propagation, i.e. their signal is not stable enough for long data transmission such as GRIB files and long email reports.  So communication is a little hit and miss at the moment.  Mike doesn't have a HF signal propagation application on his laptop that would help him predict the best times and frequencies for HF transmission, I suggested it however he's a bit of a Luddite when it comes to these things and decided he'd never work out how to use it... 

Their DR position according to me should be 143°27'S and 172°06'W  as of 0300 UTC yesterday.  That puts them about 180 miles east and slightly north of Chatham Islands.  As far as I can see, though I'm still researching this, the next land could well be Robinson Crusoe Island.  Though they may decide to pass south of the Island depending on conditions over the next few weeks.

A map of the island...

File:Rob-cru.png

Here is a picture of Robinson...
Robinson

And here is a picture of the fishing port on the island...

Robinson Crusoe

And the main street...

Calle la polvora / The street "gunpowder"

And the Port proper...

Desde Hospederia Martinez Green 

The Island lies about 33.6°S and 78.8°W  roughly the same latitude as Sydney.  It

 is the largest island of the Chilean Juan Fernández archipelago, situated 674 kilometres west of South America in the South Pacific Ocean. The archipelago is made up of three islands, Robinson Crusoe, Alejandro Selkirk and the small Santa Clara.

Robinson Crusoe has a population of 500–600 living in the village of San Juan Bautista. Although the community maintains a rustic serenity dependent on the spiny lobster trade, residents employ a few vehicles, a satellite internetconnection, and many television sets. There is an airstrip[

9][10] on the island, near the tip of the island's southwestern peninsula. The flying time from Santiago de Chile is just under three hours,[11] and there is a ferry from the airstrip to San Juan Bautista.

Tourists number in the hundreds per year. One activity gaining popularity is scuba diving, particularly on the wreck of the German light cruiser SMS Dresden, which was scuttled in Cumberland Bay during the Battle of Más a Tierra during the First World War.


All the above thanks to Google Maps and Wiki...

Paul Kerrigan

Strewth on Bathurst Hbr

Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90

My posts: Blogger Facebook LiveJournal WordPress LinkedIn

Posted via email from PK's Sailing posts

Sunday, December 5, 2010

Drina, no position report overnight 5/11/2010...

Drina is not on the list of overnight reports for the 5/12/2010.  So I've estimated a DR position for yesterday  based on her last course and speed and a little extra for the new wind that was forecast for her area over the last 24hrs.
Her DR Position is 42° 28'S and 175° 23'W.  That puts her about 85 miles NE of Chatham Islands.
The weather in that location you can work out yourself from the local forecast I've included below.
Issued by MetService at: 12:57pm 6 December 2010
Valid to: 12:00am 8 December 2010
Forecast: 
Northwest 20 knots. Changing southwest 30 knots in the morning. Sea becoming rough. Southwest swell rising to 3 metres. Northwest swell 1 metre dying out.
Outlook: 
Outlook following 3 days: Rising Wednesday morning southwest 40 knots with very rough sea, easing late Wednesday 30 knots and Friday 20 knots. Southwest swell becoming heavy Wednesday, easing Friday.
New issues of this forecast are made available on this site at or before:
2:15am, 6:15am, 2:15pm, 6:15pm
Updates and amendments may be issued at any time.
Heres a link to another site that plots her position, though in this case only the last 2 weeks of plots.
Paul Kerrigan
Strewth on Bathurst Hbr
Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90
My posts: Blogger Facebook LiveJournal WordPress LinkedIn

Here is another view, more insightful and perhaps important. Perhaps I'll not banish the S word after all, just ask the questions she can't answer...

Fifty years ago, in the midst of his presidential campaign against Richard Nixon, Sen. John F. Kennedy gave a speech to ease voters' concerns about his Catholic faith. Speaking in Houston, Kennedy emphasized that Article VI of the Constitution maintains that no "religious test" may keep a candidate from aspiring to political office. He went further, implying that his Catholicism should be off limits to public scrutiny. To treat a politician's religious beliefs as politically relevant was an affront to America's noblest civic traditions, he declared.

The speech was a huge success -- and not only because it helped Kennedy win. Its most enduring legacy was to persuade journalists, critics and citizens at large not to question the political implications of candidates' religious beliefs. While it was still acceptable to assess the dangers of generic "religion" in public life, evaluating particular faiths came to be viewed as bigotry.

No longer. Since the rise of the religious right in the late 1970s, traditionalist believers have actively injected faith into the political realm, pushing public figures to place their religious convictions at the core of their civic identities and political campaigns. From Jimmy Carter to George W. Bush, U.S. presidents have made overt -- and largely innocuous -- gestures toward satisfying this expectation.

Today, President Obama's religious beliefs are at the forefront of public debate. While Fox News personality Glenn Beck decries Obama's alleged left-leaning Christianity as "liberation theology," nearly a fifth of the country believes, mistakenly, that the president is a Muslim. It is tempting to stick with the old Kennedy argument and respond that the president's faith is irrelevant as well as off limits. But

The battles over an Islamic community center in Lower Manhattan and a Florida pastor's threat to burn the Koran on Sept. 11 underscore the relevance of political leaders' views on faith -- their own as well as others'. Instead of attempting the impossible task of abolishing faith from the political conversation, we need a new kind of religious test for our leaders. Unlike the tests proscribed by the Constitution, this one would not threaten to formally bar members of specific traditions from public office. But religious convictions do not always harmonize with the practice of democratic government, and allowing voters to explore the dissonance is legitimate.

Every religion is radically particular, with its own distinctive beliefs about God, human history and the world. These are specific, concrete claims -- about the status of the religious community in relation to other groups and to the nation as a whole, about the character of political and divine authority, about the place of prophecy in religious and political life, about the scope of human knowledge, about the providential role of God in human history, and about the moral and legal status of sex. Depending on where believers come down on such issues, their faith may or may not clash with the requirements of democratic politics. To help us make that determination, all candidates for high office should have to take the religious test, which would include the following questions:


This would apply primarily to candidates who belong to churches that make strong claims about the divine authority of their leaders. The Roman Catholic hierarchy, for example, has frequently asserted that the authority of the pope and bishops is binding in matters of faith and morals. As Sen. John F. Kerry learned during his 2004 presidential campaign, members of the hierarchy have begun to demand that Catholic politicians not only refrain from having abortions and encouraging women to procure them, but also work to outlaw the procedure -- even though the Supreme Court has declared it a constitutionally protected right, and even if the candidate's constituents are overwhelmingly pro-choice.

The dilemma faced by devout Mormon candidates is potentially greater. Mormons believe that the head of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints is a prophet of God, which seems to give his statements far greater weight than those of any earthly authority, including the president of the United States. In his campaign for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination, Mitt Romney skirted questions related to his Mormonism by playing down its theological distinctiveness. "The values that I have are the same values you will find in faiths across this country,"Romney said in one debate. If he (or another Mormon) runs for the presidency in 2012 or beyond, he should explain how he would respond to a prophetic pronouncement that conflicted with his presidential duties.

What do you believe human beings can know about nature and history?

Many evangelical Protestants and Pentecostals believe in biblical inerrancy, which leads them to treat the findings of natural science (especially those of evolutionary biology) with suspicion. Many of these Christians also believe that God regularly intervenes in history, directing global events, guiding U.S. actions in the world for the sake of divine ends and perhaps even leading humanity toward an apocalyptic conflagration in the Middle East. Potential candidates who belong to churches associated with such thinking, such as the Pentecostal Sarah Palin, owe it to their fellow citizens to elaborate on their views of modern science and the U.S. role in the unfolding of the end times. Given the ominous implications of a person with strong eschatological convictions becoming the leader of the most powerful nation on Earth, it would be profoundly irresponsible not to ask tough questions about the topic.

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Do you believe the law should be used to impose and enforce religious views of sexual morality?

America's traditional religious consensus on sexual morality -- which supported laws against abortion and all forms of non-procreative sex, from masturbation to oral and anal sex, whether practiced by members of the same or different genders, inside or outside of marriage -- began to break down in the 1960s. The nation today is sharply divided between those whose views of sex are still grounded in the norms and customs of traditionalist religion and those who no longer feel bound by those norms and customs. Given this lack of consensus, the law has understandably retreated from enforcing religiously grounded views, leaving it up to individuals to decide how to regulate their sexual conduct.

The religious right hopes to reverse this retreat. That opens the troubling prospect of the state seeking to impose the sexual morals of some Americans on the nation as a whole. All candidates -- especially those who court the support of the religious right -- need to clarify where they stand on the issue. Above all, they need to indicate whether they believe it is possible or desirable to use the force of law to uphold a sexual morality affirmed by a fraction of the people.

Asking candidates about their faith should not be taken as a sign of anti-religious animus. On the contrary, this sort of questioning takes faith seriously -- certainly more seriously than most of our politicians and news media currently do. Candidates think they benefit from making a show of their faith, and journalists, aiming to avoid uncomfortable confrontations, usually allow them to leave their pronouncements at the level of platitudes. We need to go further.

Pastor Rick Warren's conversation with John McCain and Barack Obama during the 2008 presidential campaign was a move in the right direction, though Warren was such an anodyne interviewer that the candidates were permitted to speak mainly in bromides. Better, perhaps, would be a special presidential debate devoted to faith and morality, in which journalists and religious leaders would pose pointed questions about candidates' beliefs.

It matters quite a lot if, in the end, a politician's faith is merely an ecumenical expression of American civil religion -- or if, when taking the religious test, he forthrightly declares (as Kennedy did) that in the event of a clash between his spiritual and political allegiances, the Constitution would always come first. Those are the easy cases. In others -- when a politician denies the need to choose or explain, insisting simply that it's possible to marry his or her religious beliefs with democratic rule in a pluralistic society -- we need to dig deeper, to determine as best we can how the candidate is likely to think and act when the divergent demands of those two realms collide, as they inevitably will.

Obama's 2008 speech on the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, his own Christian faith and its complicated intersection with the wrenching story of race in America stands as a particularly eloquent example of how to take -- and pass -- the religious test. Obama resisted giving the speech, but many Americans learned something important about the man and his mind as they listened to him talk through some of life's deepest moral, political and spiritual questions. A political process that compelled candidates to engage regularly in such thinking about the tensions and links between faith and governance just might foster increased religious understanding -- which, these days, feels in short supply.

damon_linker@yahoo.com

Posted via email from PK's Sailing posts

Sarah P...

The other day I read a couple of articles on the infamous vacuum S Palin, recently failed VP candidate for the recent presidential election in the US, actually not so recent.  While reading his granddaughter's defense of JFK's position on the seperation of the state and religion against remarks made my S Palin, I wondered why bother... No one, in possession of their senses, would equate these two people, would they?  Who cares what S Palin believes or has been told to believe, she is simply not in the same game as JFK.  So I wondered on the wisdom of JFK's grand daughter's defense. Possibly best leave Sarah alone to cry nonsense in the wilderness of ignorance. 

Then, within days, I read a second piece by another blogger who it seems agrees with me.  I've included the links to the articles below so you can make your own judgement.  As for me, the Sarah word will no longer have a place in my lexicon.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/04/opinion/04blow.html?src=me&ref=general

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/12/03/AR2010120303209.html?wpisrc=nl_most


Paul Kerrigan

Strewth on Bathurst Hbr

Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90

My posts: Blogger Facebook LiveJournal WordPress LinkedIn

Posted via email from PK's Sailing posts

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Drina crosses the date line...

At about 1200hrs local Sydney time on the 4th of December Drina reported her position as 41.27°S and 178.43°W or 17 miles west of the date line.  Because they are at sea they use the UTC convention for ship's time and date.  Even though they are west of Chatham Islands their date is 03/12/2010 while those on the island to the East of the are already on the 04/12/2010.  That's because Chatham Islands are in the NZ time zone and the de-facto date line is considered to be to the east of them.  So the convention is that land based communities can decide their own date and time within reason, while those at sea must follow the pole to pole meridians and move the clock one hour for every 15° east or west of 180° Longitude, otherwise known as UTC or Zulu time.  So there you go they get to have Friday the 3rd all over again.

Their report shows they are experiencing little wind, 5kts from the SW with a boat speed of 4kts and a course over the ground of 100°M.  They are slowly trying to make southing though with the present course they are probably making easting and northing.

I've passed on best wishes from those of you that asked to be remembered and I know that they are appreciated.  There's a lot of reading and listening to music going on onboard, though the genre and volume changes with the watch.  

Posted via email from PK's Sailing posts

Friday, December 3, 2010

Drina crosses the 40° line of latitude...

Overnight Drina has crossed the 40° latitude and is presently sailing a course of 073°M in about 4.5Kts of wind.  Her longitude is 179.58°E and so they probably will sail today all over again as soon as they cross the date line in the next few hours.

Latest news is that they continue to try make southing in an attempt to get better (stronger) wind.  As you can see from the latest track here...

they are having a lot of trouble getting south and are having to take whatever they can get at the moment.  In a straight line they have about 4,590 miles to go, however they will actually have to sail about 500miles further due to the curvature of the earth.

Here's a picture just prior to departure taken by Bryan Ridell  


Paul Kerrigan

Strewth on Bathurst Hbr
Strewth: Jan 2010
Bathurst Harbour
Check Drina's latest position, click the link below.
 http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90

My posts:

Posted via email from PK's Sailing posts

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Drina back underway after mainsail repairs in Opua

Drina is back at sea after completing mainsail repairs in Opua in NZ. She cleared out for Porto Montt in Chile on Monday morning last and has been experiencing light winds since then. Her course and position can be viewed here http://shiptrak.org/?callsign=vj5319&filter=90
The link will auto-update for you each day and the zoom and pan controls are located top left of the map. Hope you enjoy following the adventure as Michael and Alex continue their journey.

The plan is to sail a course of about 120 degrees true to reach the windier latitudes, possibly as low as 50 degrees south and then move south or north to avoid the low pressure fronts. They have approximately 5000 NM to go and at about 1000 miles per week the trip will take 5 weeks or so. So it's Christmas at sea for those two.

All the best for now PK

Posted via email from PK's Sailing posts